In general, we are sadly missing an intuitive understanding of random processes. Several authors wrote about this blind spots in the last years – Taleb in Fooled by Randomness   (https://www.amazon.com/Fooled-Randomness-Hidden-Markets-Incerto/dp/0812975219/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1503991947&sr=8-1&keywords=fooled+by+randomness) or Sam L. Savage in the Flaw of Averages...